#241
ahahahaha i love this

On September 6, while performing work on the NOAA-N Prime spacecraft, being prepared to launch in 2008 for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the satellite was dropped.



passive voice is the best way to buck-pass while sounding pro and scientific

#242
that, my friend, was the hand of God striking down the evil that you and your colleagues have unleashed
#243

a saudi official posted:
that, habibi, was the hand of God striking down the evil that you and your colleagues have unleashed


#244

guidoanselmi posted:
actually i forgot to mention the Orbiting Carbon Observatory OCO (http://oco.jpl.nasa.gov/ ) incident. orbital science's launch vehicle faring didn't deploy and it was stuck with too much mass to enter orbit so it cratered by antarctica.

i like to think it was a global south/right-wing plot to foil developing a detailed global carbon map



That was so sad I didn't mean to diss on NASA or nuthin IWC just had my dander up is all

#245
so im looking at the oco-2 incident report summary and all of the listed failure modes look really unlikely, is that the first taurus that had a fairing problem?
#246

guidoanselmi posted:
actually i forgot to mention the Orbiting Carbon Observatory OCO (http://oco.jpl.nasa.gov/ ) incident. orbital science's launch vehicle faring didn't deploy and it was stuck with too much mass to enter orbit so it cratered by antarctica.

i like to think it was a global south/right-wing plot to foil developing a detailed global carbon map



probably the most likely explanation

#247

shennong posted:
so im looking at the oco-2 incident report summary and all of the listed failure modes look really unlikely, is that the first taurus that had a fairing problem?



i just looked it up cause i never read it. i scanned the executive summary.

honestly it's a very rare launch vehicle failure (i dont think i've heard of fairing separation or payload ring separation issues as opposed to turbomachinery, stage separation) so all of them are very unlikely and get to be an issue of parts failure or not being able to survive the launch environment (high freq, high amp shocks and loads). i really have no idea and it's pretty scary. parts failure is the last causes of spacecraft or launch vehicle failures. it's typically poor engineering and human error.

#248
Australia's premier climate scientist Tim Flannery in 2005:

http://www.smh.com.au/news/Opinion/Running-out-of-water--and-time/2005/04/24/1114281450815.html

“Perth is facing the possibility of a catastrophic failure of the city’s water supply,” says Tim Flannery, director of the South Australian Museum and Australia’s most high-profile scientist and ecologist..

“I’m personally more worried about Sydney than Perth,” Flannery told me. “Where does Sydney go for more water? ... Sydney doesn’t have any major scheme in place to bolster water. It also has nowhere to put the vast infrastructure of a desalination plant."…

Climate change is working against Sydney. “There’s only two years’ water supply in Warragamba Dam,” says Flannery, “yet Frank Sartor is talking about the situation being stable … If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…

“Water is going to be in short supply across the eastern states,” says Flannery… The water restrictions now in force in Sydney are never going to be lifted, except after a run of freak conditions, just as Warragamba Dam is never again going to be full unless there is a freak period of high rainfall unlikely to be sustained.



That "freak period" has been going for two wet years now.

Warragamba dam is now 96% full with ongoing flooding throughout the state. Again, more wrong predictions, more failed models, more scaremongering to prop up the doom industry. We did build that desal plant, largely thanks to his alarmism, now it's a massive white elephant that cost taxpayers billions.

No wonder people are switching off.

#249

tpaine posted:
i want to die


yeah

#250
"If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…



"If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…



"If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…



"If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…



"If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia."…



We had 5 INCHES of rain yesterday alone, and it's not a freak event, it's been raining cats and dogs for several years.

"if the computer models are right", lol.
#251
Shut up. In central Texas there's floods for years and years and then heavy rains and some floods in certain for weeks, yet drought conditions still persist at almost the same level.
#252

EmanuelaOrlandi posted:
Shut up. In central Texas there's floods for years and years and then heavy rains and some floods in certain for weeks, yet drought conditions still persist at almost the same level.



Well maybe but not here. They told us we were looking at PERMANENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS in Eastern Australia and the past two or three years have seen shocking floods, overflowing rivers, waterlogged ground, overflowing catchments and the inundation of central Brisbane.

The models were wrong. Simple as that. And if they could get that so shockingly, devastatingly wrong, well…..fuck their models.

#253

guidoanselmi posted:

shennong posted:
so im looking at the oco-2 incident report summary and all of the listed failure modes look really unlikely, is that the first taurus that had a fairing problem?

i just looked it up cause i never read it. i scanned the executive summary.

honestly it's a very rare launch vehicle failure (i dont think i've heard of fairing separation or payload ring separation issues as opposed to turbomachinery, stage separation) so all of them are very unlikely and get to be an issue of parts failure or not being able to survive the launch environment (high freq, high amp shocks and loads). i really have no idea and it's pretty scary. parts failure is the last causes of spacecraft or launch vehicle failures. it's typically poor engineering and human error.



fucking illuminati

#254
Ah yes. Some guy said a thing. A substantive argument against climate modeling. If you just want some to bitch about Flannery why don't you go to Dnd I'm sure Duck Monster will be happy to respond. If I remember right he had a nice long rant last month in the climate thread about Murdoch's media slandering the fellow. Otherwise post some science to criticize, I'm not wading through anymore rightwing blogs looking for the single kernel of truth buried under all your shit
#255
shaking my head dot com
#256
post some right wing blogs inmo
#257

Squalid posted:
Ah yes. Some guy said a thing. A substantive argument against climate modeling. If you just want some to bitch about Flannery why don't you go to Dnd I'm sure Duck Monster will be happy to respond. If I remember right he had a nice long rant last month in the climate thread about Murdoch's media slandering the fellow. Otherwise post some science to criticize, I'm not wading through anymore rightwing blogs looking for the single kernel of truth buried under all your shit



He’s not “some guy”, he’s Australia’s government-appointed climate commissioner.

I don’t need the Murdoch press to tell me him and his models are wrong, I can look out the window or take a walk in the park. If the country’s pre-eminent scientist on this issue not only gets it wrong, but gets it so SPECTACULARLY wrong then I’m going to have to assume the models are intrinsically flawed and unreliable.

You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.

#258

Impper posted:
post some right wing blogs inmo


http://www.amerika.org/
http://takimag.com/

#259
woAh, nice bewbage on that musselwoman right thurr
#260

Superabound posted:
woAh, nice bewbage on that musselwoman right thurr



#261
http://thegwpf.org/science-news/5493-max-planck-institute-director-confirms-qclimate-models-inconsistent-with-observationsq.html

However, Whitehouse explains further, the IPCC had predicted a temperature increase of of 0.2°C per decade because of the anthropogenic greenhouse effect. But this warming has not occurred. ‘We are now at a point where temperature stagnation is dominating the climate development. One cannot ignore that, even if is not 30 years,’ Whitehouse believes. ‘It is now time for the IPCC and the scientific community to recognize the temperature stagnation as reality.“

#262
this just proves that the weather is even more wily and unpredictable than previously imagined. if we take our eye off the ball, even for a single second, theres no telling what heretofore unseen levels of destructive mischief it could get up to
#263
iwc isn't pointing out that a few people ahve been wrong about climate change, and therefore all hypotheses about climate change are wrong, all, hes pointing out that there is no one who has ever been right. there has obviously never, never ever, ever been a correct prediction of devastating events due to climate change, because if there were one, the world as a whole would be in a horrible condition (which it is not). like, seriously, get this, folks
#264
so, if something consistently produces false results, and has never had a record of producing true results, why should you put your trust into this thing. please explain this to me
#265

fape posted:
so, if something consistently produces false results, and has never had a record of producing true results, why should you put your trust into this thing. please explain this to me



um, you're talking to a forum of Marxists?

#266

fape posted:
iwc isn't pointing out that a few people ahve been wrong about climate change, and therefore all hypotheses about climate change are wrong, all, hes pointing out that there is no one who has ever been right. there has obviously never, never ever, ever been a correct prediction of devastating events due to climate change, because if there were one, the world as a whole would be in a horrible condition (which it is not). like, seriously, get this, folks



the world is in a horrible condition and you just don't think it's horrible enough

#267

ialdabaoth posted:


o ya, i forgot about the drought that's wasting the entire first world right now, that a climate change expert predicted 5 years ago.

#268

fape posted:
so, if something consistently produces false results, and has never had a record of producing true results, why should you put your trust into this thing. please explain this to me



this is a good argument for scrolling past your posts in this thread my guy

#269

AmericanNazbro posted:

fape posted:
so, if something consistently produces false results, and has never had a record of producing true results, why should you put your trust into this thing. please explain this to me

this is a good argument for scrolling past your posts in this thread my guy

"this is a good argument, guy who i am now going to say only ever makes shitty arguments"

#270

fape posted:

ialdabaoth posted:

o ya, i forgot about the drought that's wasting the entire first world right now, that a climate change expert predicted 5 years ago.



well shit i am accountable for what some guy said five years ago and i have totally dropped the ball

#271

ialdabaoth posted:

fape posted:

ialdabaoth posted:

o ya, i forgot about the drought that's wasting the entire first world right now, that a climate change expert predicted 5 years ago.

well shit i am accountable for what some guy said five years ago and i have totally dropped the ball

i dont think anyone said anything 5 years ago. i was just making a comment on how unaccountable climate change experts are!! and also making a point, which still stands

#272

fape posted:

AmericanNazbro posted:

fape posted:
so, if something consistently produces false results, and has never had a record of producing true results, why should you put your trust into this thing. please explain this to me

this is a good argument for scrolling past your posts in this thread my guy

"this is a good argument, guy who i am now going to say only ever makes shitty arguments"



yes exactly

#273
Because you touch yourself at night
#274
guidoanselmi u work for nasa, right?
im looking forward to the space apps challenge this weekend!
#275
the evidence supports the hypothesis that global climate is changing because of co2, but thats p much it. iwcs just making a 'yeah duh' observation that computer modelling is too simplistic to be worthwhile (as anyone who had planned a sunny weekend on the beach in torquay this weekend will surely agree)
#276
He has definitely said a lot more than that cleanhands. In fact he has rejected all evidence of climate change, period. Further, he has rejected that we should take any steps to remedy climate change or carbon emissions, going so far as to say there is no point in developing renewable energy as long as coal is available. Climates models don't predict how sunny it's going to be on any given weekend, not sure what you're trying to say about the validity of computer modeling with such an example.
#277
there's a potentially massive reterritorialization when you get into the business of suggesting a "remedy" though, these are the same universals that capital pushes. you cant blame people for questioning the motives of everyone involved or outright resisting this when scientific data is used to expediate global change, it's unprecedented.
#278

Squalid posted:
He has definitely said a lot more than that cleanhands. In fact he has rejected all evidence of climate change, period. Further, he has rejected that we should take any steps to remedy climate change or carbon emissions, going so far as to say there is no point in developing renewable energy as long as coal is available. Climates models don't predict how sunny it's going to be on any given weekend, not sure what you're trying to say about the validity of computer modeling with such an example.

wow youre grumpy

#279

fape posted:
iwc isn't pointing out that a few people ahve been wrong about climate change, and therefore all hypotheses about climate change are wrong, all, hes pointing out that there is no one who has ever been right. there has obviously never, never ever, ever been a correct prediction of devastating events due to climate change, because if there were one, the world as a whole would be in a horrible condition (which it is not). like, seriously, get this, folks



You are making the mistake of conflating statements made by advocacy groups and public statements meant to draw attention to political issues with scientific hypotheses. The scientific evidence may strongly suggest that the climate is warming, and that the warming is going to cause a drier climate in Australia, and that in the future water supplies will be inadequate to meet projected future demand. A scientist can see such evidence and decide we have to act, and if they work in a political capacity, like Flannery, it is no more surprising to hear them spouting off alarmist rhetoric than it is to hear the right cry about socialism. I have a sneaking suspicion those models mentioned in Flannery's say very little about changes in Australia's climate anytime this decade. Much more likely they just suggest a gradually drying over the next 100 years. This shit isn't magic, it's basically a bunch of excel spreadsheets.

There are lots of climate predictions that seem to be holding up fape. At this point it's obvious the Arctic will be ice free during summers sometime this century, idk if you would consider that a disaster. Today if you are an ecologist hoping to protect the habitat of an endangered species, you wouldn't just consider where it is currently located. Instead you would have to try and predict where the habitat is going to move. Unfortunately if you want to protect a species that occurs only in rare discontinuous high elevation zones like cloud forests or alpine tundras there isn't much we can do, global warming is generally expected to raise the elevation level at which such habitats are expected to occur, meaning we're currently seeing them evaporate off the tops of mountains all over the world. I'm sure IWC doesn't care, but it's not like climate change hasn't had any demonstrable effect on our world so far.

#280
Sorry cleanhands I just lost a letter from my dad before I even had a chance to open it, slipped out of my back pocket where I had stuck it on the way to class! So sorry if I came off as rude, I'm in a bad mood okay! I agree that we do have to question motives when discussing science, I was kind of trying to pull this discussion more in that direction when I first starting posting here, too bad I couldn't help myself from feeding the trolls. I'm not too offended when someone exaggerates a bit trying to get some media attention, especially when in the face of real evidence we've basically done nothing.